South Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 2 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRINA (14S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Xai-Xai (25.0 S, 33.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Africa
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Swaziland
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Maputo (26.0 S, 32.6 E)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
    Bumbeni (27.8 S, 32.3 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Mbabne (26.3 S, 31.2 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Hlatikulu (27.0 S, 31.4 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/


- Tropical Storm Risk