This morning's GFS model runs (00Z and 06Z on Sun 19th) are much less favourable for snow (below 1400-1600m) on Wed 22nd. This is frustrating, but not too surprising given the relatively weak overall size and intensity of these frontal systems (compared to the ones we had earlier this month).
The outlook for Fri 24th is still highly uncertain, with several recent model runs and forecasts all giving completely different scenarios (from a powerful cold-front to a weak cutoff-low).
The only constant seems that daytime temperatures for the SW-Cape are likely to remain low (close to 15C) for this whole week.
Compiled by Gordon Richardson - Stormchasing SA
No comments:
Post a Comment