WATCH: Tropical Low Pressure System: Mozambique/Indian Ocean - Possible Cyclone Development in the next 24 Hours.

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.7S 34.1E, 
APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED 
MSI SHOWS A TIGHTLY WRAPPED LLCC WITH DEEP CENTRAL CONVECTION SLOWLY 
TRACKING TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. 
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER A WELL 
ESTABLISHED ANTICYCLONE, WHICH IS CREATING A REGION OF VERY 
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND LOW VWS. SSTS OFF THE COAST ARE 28 TO 30 
DEGREES CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 
MB. BASED ON PERSISTENT CONVECTION, VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL 
OUTFLOW, AND WARM SSTS OFF THE COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, THE POTENTIAL 
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

- Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) + Eumetsat + Paul F Sander

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