Showing posts with label Severe Thunderstorms. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Severe Thunderstorms. Show all posts

Saturday, 30 March 2013

Cold-front SW-Cape, and weak upper air trough (30 March - 2 April 2013)




The appearance of the deep frontal-low (bottom image)  and cold-core upper trough (top image) is quite obvious from this mornings satellite images.  We could be in for and interesting weekend.  First real winter cold front approaching?  Dropping temperatures?  Strong South Easterly Wind? Possible Cut Off Low? Thunderstorms to the East? Heavy Rain? This Easter weekend might just be the turn from Autumn to an early Winter spell.

All SAWDOS Weather Observers and non SAWDOS weather observers are hereby requested to report severe thunderstorms, heavy rain and other adverse weather conditions in their area of observation.  Be alert and send observations to the SAWDOS as we will in turn publish the observations to the benefit of the general public.

There is really no better way than real time weather observations by the public when it comes to reporting severe weather in an area.

Send information to:

SMS, MMS messages to: 076 251 3482 (only text messages)

Email photos and information by clicking HERE.

If you observe any strange weather or disaster send the info to the SAWDOS for publication. Do not assume that the SAWDOS knows for certain that severe weather has occurred in your area. Never assume that your weather observation report is not important.

We also remind our readers that the SAWDOS utilize the following social media formats to keep our readers informed :

SA Weather and Disaster Observation Service Blog - http://sawdis1.blogspot.com/

SAWDOS Twitter - http://sawdis1.blogspot.com/p/sawdis-twitter.html

SAWDOS Facebook Group - http://www.facebook.com/groups/374316165928426/

Please note that any of the above could be used during severe weather to keep the public informed or to notify the SAWDOS of an event.

Johan Terblanche
Founder: SA Weather and Disaster Observation Service
Mossel Bay
30 March 2013


Friday, 29 March 2013

Oudtshoorn: Storm rig skade aan, slaan krag af

OUDTSHOORN NUUS - 'n Hewige donderstorm met swaar reën en gepaardgaande sterk wind het Dinsdagaand boomtakke afgeruk en 'n paar KKNK-tente platgevee.

Die storm het dele van Oudtshoorn vir etlike ure sonder krag gelaat.

Plase in die Rooiheuwel-omgewing was Woensdagoggend teen 07:00 steeds sonder krag. Weerlig het twee palmbome in Steynstraat aan die brand geslaan terwyl lede van 'n produksiespan by die Johnny Biskit-saal moes bontstaan om te keer dat hulle toerusting beskadig word.

Die swaar reën wat slegs 'n paar minute geduur het, het water deur die saal laat stroom.

By die Rivierbuurt waar uitstaltente reeds opgeslaan is het die wind van die tente platgewaai, maar sover vasgestel kon word is geen ernstige skade aangerig nie.

- Oudtshoorn Courant

Photos: Massive thunderstorm hits Knysna and Southern Cape

Photo by Murray Ralfe 

On Tuesday night 26 March 2013, Knysna, Sedgefield, Wilderness and George residents experienced a severe thunderstorm like never before. With constant lightning, thunder rumbling, gale force winds and rain this was certainly one of the biggest storms in the Garden Route. Look4it Knysna posted regular updates on our Facebook page where readers expressed their surprise and fear.

One reader wrote: “The lightning hit my house, blew the electricity…very frightening!” Another reader wrote: “Worse in Durban, more than 10 years ago. This is the worst one I’ve experienced since then”. Riana wrote: “On the hil in Makou, will have to check all tomorrow but TV got some damage and looks like plug is fried where the flames/sparks came out. Do not want to relive that again, got 2 year old toddler”.

Pieter Cloete from Look4it Knysna and some readers were out and about and took some magnificent photos in Knysna:

View images HERE.

- Look4It - Knysna

Video: Storm Sedgefield - 26 march 2013 (Part 2)



Another 3 minute clip, taken from the storm on 26 March 2013 - Some folks don't know how intense our storms can be - well this is a taste... once again the cellphone camera is only able to capture images directly in its view... but the lightning surrounded us like this for 2 hours. Took us some time afterwards to get our doggits out from under the tables!

- Carly and family

Wednesday, 27 March 2013

Sedgefield Storm Video: 26 March 2013



We have our share of storms here. Last night (26 march 2013) was one of the scariest. This video starts slowly, while the cellphone camera was only able to capture lightning directly in its view, the lightening surrounded us entirely. Please remember to 'rescue remedy' your doggits during storms like these.

- Carly van Heerden and family, Sedgefield

Monday, 18 March 2013

Photos of debris give researchers insight into tornados

Photos and mementos that were snatched up and blown hundreds of miles during tornados in the south of the United States two years ago are giving researchers new insight on how debris is carried by the storms and how it could threaten the public.

A new study has documented how one photo travelled nearly 355 kilometres over Alabama and Tennessee, said John Knox, an associate professor of geography at the University of Georgia who led the research. That is among the longest-documented trajectories of tornado debris.

The slightly scratched snapshot, which shows a stream flowing through a mountainous landscape, travelled from the northwest Alabama town of Phil Campbell to the east Tennessee town of Lenoir City.
The study was recently published online by the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

It tracked the direction the items travelled in relation to the storms that struck Alabama and other Southern states on April 27, 2011.

The researchers analysed the takeoff and landing points of the items using geography software and mathematical models.

Most debris fell slightly to the left of the storm's track. But the items that travelled the farthest were found to the right of the path.

Knowing where the debris is likely to fall could help protect the public if a tornado were to strike a hazardous site and suck up toxic biological or radioactive debris, Knox said.

"We need to get enough understanding so we can get fairly reasonable predictions of where the stuff goes," said John Snow, a professor of meteorology and dean emeritus at the University of Oklahoma who studied tornado debris in the 1990s. Knox's study builds on research done by Snow and others.

Though nuclear reactors are designed to withstand the force of tornadoes, radioactive materials such as fuel rods are often stored nearby, Snow said. A direct hit on such material is one of many catastrophic scenarios involving tornado-blown debris.

Tornadoes have struck toxic materials in the past. In May 2008, a twister slammed into some of the mountains of mining waste that dot the landscape of Oklahoma's Tar Creek Superfund site.

Joshua Wurman, an atmospheric scientist who founded the Center for Severe Weather Research in Boulder, Colorado, was not involved in the Georgia research but thinks it could have benefits.

"Let's say a tornado struck some kind of toxic waste dump. Sure, some of the debris or dust would have some contaminants in that," Wurman said. "Understanding which direction those contaminants would go could be useful."

The 934 objects studied by Knox and his students were posted on a Facebook page and later claimed by their owners.

Patty Bullion created the site hours after the tornadoes struck, when several photos and scraps of paper were found in her neighbourhood in the northern Alabama town of Lester. She began posting the pictures on her site. Around 2,000 of those photos and documents eventually were claimed by their owners and returned to them. That gave the researchers a gold mine of raw data on which to build.

"I was very thankful that the page could be a help," Bullion said. "I never dreamed that it would send as many pictures home as it did and then help with research like that. God works in mysterious ways."

Bullion has since taken down the Facebook site. The items pictured there are highly personal, she said, and she didn't want them to be on Facebook forever.

The historic 2011 tornado outbreak in the South, combined with Bullion's social media effort, represented a unique opportunity for the new study, Knox said.

On April 27, 2011, more than 120 tornadoes caused more than 300 deaths across the South.
The items studied from the 2011 outbreak represent "just a small cross section of debris that just carpeted the Southeast," said Knox. "What was amazing was that there was so much debris that went so far."

An earlier study on tornado debris by Snow and his colleagues identified only two objects that had travelled about 215 kilometres. By contrast, the Georgia study identified 44 items that travelled a comparable distance or farther.

The nearly 220 miles covered by the landscape photo sucked up by one of the Alabama tornadoes rivals the path taken by a cancelled check from Stockton, Kansas, which was struck by a tornado in 1991. The check was carried 359 kilometres from Kansas to a farm near Winnetoon, Nebraska, according to records from the World Meteorological Organization.

Knox said the response from his students, who became co-authors of the research paper, was phenomenal.
Knox said he sought to teach them how to conduct the research in a way that was ethical and sensitive to the victims since the tornadoes destroyed lives and homes.

"Hopefully that's a message that the students will take with them," he said. "In this case, we had people whose houses were destroyed and the family members killed and the only thing they may have gotten back was a picture of Grandma and Grandpa that went 150 miles into another state."

- Times Live

In a Warming World, the Storms May Be Fewer But Stronger (Final Part)

  1. References

  2. Brooks, H. (2013, April 1) Severe thunderstorms and climate change. Atmospheric Research. Volume 123, Pages 129-138.
  3. Climate Central (2013, Jan. 11) U.S. Sets Record for Days Without a Deadly Tornado. Accessed March 1, 2013.
  4. Cooney, C. (2012, Jan. 1) Downscaling Climate Models: Sharpening the Focus on Local-Level Changes. Environmental Health Perspectives. Volume 120, Number 1.
  5. Del Genio, A. (2007, Aug. 17) Will moist convection be stronger in a warmer climate? Geophysical Research Letters. Volume 34, Number 16.
  6. Del Genio, A. (2011, April 16) Will a Warmer World Be Stormier? Earthzine. Accessed March 1, 2013.
  7. Diffenbaugh, N. (2012, Dec. 19) Does Global Warming Influence Tornado Activity? EOS. Volume 89, Number 53.
  8. Emanuel, K. (2005, Aug. 4) Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature. Volume, 436, Pages 686-688.
  9. Francis, J. (2012, March 17) Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes. Geophysical Research Letters. Volume 36, Number 6.
  10. Kishtawal, C. (2012, May 26) Tropical cyclone intensification trends during satellite era (1986-2010). Geophysical Research Letters. Volume 39, Number 10.
  11. Knutson, T. (2010, Feb. 21) Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nature Geoscience. Volume 3, Pages 157-163.
  12. Knutson, T. (2008, May 18) Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first-century conditions. Nature Geoscience. Volume 1, Pages 359-364.
  13. Kunkel, K. (2012) Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms: State of the Knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
  14. Kunkel, K. (2010, Dec. 23) Recent increase in U.S. heavy precipitation associated with tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters. Volume 37, Number 24.
  15. Lau, W. and Zhou, Y. (2012, March 17) Observed recent trends in tropical cyclone rainfall over the North Atlantic and North Pacific.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. Volume 117, Number D3.
  16. Masters, J. (2008, May 21) The future of wind shear. Accessed March 1, 2013.
  17. Pryor, S. (2008, March 28). How spatially coherent and statistically robust are temporal changes in extreme precipitation in the contiguous USA? International Journal of Climatology. Volume 29, Number 1.
  18. Shepherd, M. (2012, Oct. 31) Hurricane Sandy and Climate Change. Project Syndicate. Accessed March 1, 2013.
  19. Slate (2012, Oct. 29) Hybrid Hell. Accessed March 1, 2013.
  20. Trapp, R. (2007, Dec. 4) Changes in severe thunderstorm environment frequency during the 21st century caused by anthropogenically enhanced global radiative forcing. PNAS. Volume 104, Number 50.
  21. Trapp, R. (2010, May 10) Regional climate of hazardous convective weather through high-resolution downscaling. Climate Dynamics. Volume 37, Number 3-4.
  22. Vecchi, G. and Soden, B. (2007, April 18) Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 34, Number 8.

- NASA

Sunday, 17 March 2013

In a Warming World, the Storms May Be Fewer But Stronger (Part 5)

Can Models Provide an Answer?

Due to gaps and limitations in historical records of storms, some scientists have turned to general circulation models (GCMs) for answers. GCMs are computer models that divide the globe up into three-dimensional grids, with the side of each box typically representing about 150 to 200 kilometers (90 to 125 miles) of the Earth. The conditions within each box are defined by equations that depict features of the oceans and atmosphere, such as temperature, humidity, pressure, and wind. The models also include factors that can affect those features, such as the concentration of greenhouse gases, the reflectivity of Earth’s surface, or the distribution of clouds or aerosols.


New, high-resolution computer models are increasingly capable of resolving small features in the atmosphere. The GEOS-5 model, running at a resolution of 3.5 kilometers (2.2 miles) per grid cell, simulated the state of the atmosphere on January 2, 2009. (NASA image by Greg Shirah, GSFC Scientific Visualization Studio.)

Models are useful because they make it possible to parse out how each different factor might influence climate in a given location. By adding, removing, and adjusting the variables, scientists can develop a deeper understanding of how the many pieces of the climate puzzle fit together.

“Models allow us to test hypotheses and improve our understanding in ways that no other type of experiment can,” says Del Genio. “They are criticized for predicting things ‘wrong’ and for the lack of agreement between them. But a model simulation that predicts something incorrectly can be just as useful for revealing underlying processes as a model run that gets the ‘right’ answer.”

Climate models are quite good at working out features of the atmosphere on a broad scale, and they do a reasonably good job of simulating large extra-tropical cyclones, which can stretch hundreds of kilometers. But they struggle to simulate hurricanes or thunderstorms, and they cannot produce key details (such as the heaviest bands of wind and rain) in extra-tropical storms. Hurricanes are generally about 150 kilometers (90 miles) across; an individual thunderstorm is usually less than 10 kilometers (6 miles). Both are smaller than the typical grid boxes in a climate model.

Thunderstorms are smaller than the resolution of a typical global climate model. However, a new generation of regional models that include high-resolution, real-world data now provide scientists with a detailed look at thunderstorms and other small-scale features of the atmosphere. (Astronaut photograph ISS022-E-006510.)


To address this problem, climate modelers have started to develop a new generation of models that reduce the size of the boxes in key regions by “downscaling.” One way they do this is by adding very detailed information about something that’s well known, like topography, into a low-resolution climate model. They also add ever-more detailed information from real-world satellites.

“Downscaling to simulate storms is a bit like knowing that you have a low-resolution image of a face that’s so blurry you can hardly tell what it is,” explained Gavin Schmidt, a climate modeler at NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies. “You take clues from a low-resolution image and then map them with other information about things like eye color, skin colors, and nose shapes to construct a more reasonable image of what the face really looks like.”

Trapp’s research group at Purdue, for example, used downscaling to incorporate data from a coarse climate model into a finer-resolution weather forecasting model. This made it possible to resolve some individual thunderstorms in the central United States and even some of the smaller elements of storms. Overall, the model captured daily rainfall patterns with surprising accuracy over a ten-year period.

“No model can predict the future perfectly,” says Del Genio. “But there’s no question that models are helping us with the underlying science.”

In some cases, the work has just begun. While climatologists have extensively studied tropical storms, they’ve hardly studied some of the more exotic types of storms. Sandy, for example, began in the Caribbean as a typical tropical storm but then morphed into a “hybrid” with extra-tropical characteristics. While tropical cyclones draw their energy from warm ocean waters, extra-tropical cyclones are fueled by sharp temperature differences between fronts in the atmosphere. Sandy was able to tap energy from both sources, which is part of the reason it was so destructive.

“No model can predict the future perfectly,” says Del Genio. “But there’s no question that models are helping us with the underlying science.” (Photograph courtesy Anthony Del Genio, NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies.)

Shepherd does think warming had an influence on Sandy, but he advises against rushing to judgment. “We do not know whether superstorms like Sandy are harbingers of a ‘new normal’, he says. “It’s a bit like steroids usage and home run statistics for baseball. Some influence was surely there, but we have more work to do before we can say precisely what percentage of home runs were helped by steroids.”

And then, of course, the inherent variability of the oceans and atmosphere means storm trends don’t follow straightforward patterns. After the record-shattering tornado outbreaks of 2011, for instance, the year 2012 was unusually quiet.

“There was a strong impulse to over-interpret and attribute tornadoes to climate change in 2011,” says Del Genio. “2012 was a good reminder that we can’t do that. We have to be patient if we really want to understand the relationship between storms and climate. The attribution is about trends and understanding underlying processes. It is not about flagging individual events with some sort of scarlet letter.”

- NASA

Final part to be published on the 18 March 2013.

Friday, 15 March 2013

In a Warming World, the Storms May Be Fewer But Stronger ( Part

Competing Forces Muddle the Picture

Although more rain and snow are falling from storms, it’s more difficult to say how global warming will affect the formation of those storms in the first place. “This would be a much easier nut to crack if the effects of warming all pointed to more frequent, stronger storms,” says Harold Brooks, a meteorologist at NOAA’s National Severe Storms Laboratory. “Unfortunately, they don’t.”

Though thunderstorms are familiar and seemingly non-threatening, severe thunderstorms—with sustained winds above 93 kilometers (58 miles) per hour or with unusually large hail—can lead to supercells, derechos, and tornadoes. Several key ingredients are required for severe thunderstorms, starting with the presence of warm, moist air near the surface and a store of potential energy once that air begins to rise. Meteorologists call this combination “convective available potential energy,” or CAPE. The higher the CAPE, the more potential an air mass has to create the towering cumulus clouds that create storms.


Lightning only occurs in areas with strong convection. This map of lightning strike frequency from May 1995 through 2011 shows where severe weather occurs around the world. Scientists are using computer models to predict if global warming will cause an increase in the number and strength of thunderstorms. (NASA image by Robert Simmon, using data from the MSFC Global Hydrology Resource Center.)

“CAPE can provide storms with the raw fuel to produce rain and hail,” says Brooks, “and vertical wind shear can pull and twist weak storms into strong, windy ones.”

Climate change should, theoretically, increase potential storm energy by warming the surface and putting more moisture in the air through evaporation, Brooks explained. But on the other hand, disproportionate warming in the Arctic should lead to less wind shear in the mid-latitude areas prone to severe thunderstorms, making the storms less likely.

In recent years, Del Genio conducted simulations to assess global warming’s impact on thunderstorms in the United States. Working with a climate model maintained by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, he found that the number of severe storms would not change much, but the strongest storms would have even stronger and more destructive winds.

Another study, led by Robert Trapp of Purdue University, found that a doubling of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere would significantly increase the number of days that severe thunderstorms could occur in the southern and eastern United States. Cities such as Atlanta and New York could see a doubling of the number of days that severe thunderstorms could occur, the models suggested. “The increase in CAPE more than compensated for the decrease in wind shear,” Trapp says.





Detailed climate models of the United States are helping scientists determine the effect of future climate change on storms. These maps show the results of one model comparing the summer climate in 2072–2099 with the climate in 1962–1989. Convective available potential energy is predicted to rise enough to overwhelm a slight decrease in vertical wind shear, leading to an increase in severe thunderstorms, especially in Missouri and coastal North and South Carolina. (Images adapted from Trapp et al., 2007.)

However, both scientists caution that there’s uncertainty in their findings because of the meager scientific attention thunderstorms have received. Unlike tropical cyclones, which climate researchers have studied intensely since Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans in 2005, only a handful of researchers have focused on the impact of global warming on severe thunderstorms.

Then there are problems unique to tornadoes. Beyond knowing that they require a certain type of wind shear, meteorologists just don’t know much about why some thunderstorms generate tornadoes and others don’t. (Only about 1 percent of thunderstorms generate tornadoes.) “You can’t just take the results of the modeling for severe thunderstorms and assume they apply to tornadoes,” says Del Genio.

Similar problems confound research about extra-tropical and tropical cyclones. Conventional wisdom holds that extra-tropical cyclones will be somewhat less likely in a warmer world because the differences in temperatures between the tropics and the Arctic—one of the key elements fueling extra-tropical storms—should decline.

But again, there are competing forces. At higher altitudes in the upper troposphere—above 5 kilometers (3 miles)—the air is warming more quickly at the equator than at the poles. Since upper troposphere temperatures and winds are key to the formation of extra-tropical cyclones, changes at that level could counteract changes lower in the atmosphere.

- NASA

Tuesday, 5 March 2013

Photos: Tornado observed over Kriel, Mpumalanga, Saturday 02 March



 (Click on images for larger view.)

Paul Andrews writes: Please see attached photos of what came to town on Saturday morning just before my daughter's hockey game, at Kriel, Mpumalanga.

It was outside of town and far off, probably about 10km and it never touched down.

What's really strange about it is that it was not a day of severe weather systems.

The morning began cool and overcast with patches of light rain and drizzle, almost like a cold front.

There was no major build-up of severe heat and then the sudden icy cold of hail-laden storm clouds, together with violent gusting winds.

Instead it was calm, only slightly breezy and moderate. This was not in any way a day filled with perfect tornado-forming weather.

The funnel lasted about 10 minutes and then was gone again.

SAWDOS:  Paul thanks so much for the funnel images.  This is a great observation taken into account that the conditions were not conducive for the formation of tornadoes.   However one never knows when mother nature will come up with a surprise. 



Tuesday, 12 February 2013

Heavy rain: Child drowns in Midlands

The body of a six-year-old child, who drowned after being swept away by a swollen river in the KZN Midlands following heavy rains, has been recovered.

Little Khetelo Madlala is believed to have been walking home from school yesterday afternoon in the Impendle area when he was swept away by the Nzinga river, which had burst its banks.

Meanwhile, in the Msinga area - near Greytown - four other people are also believed to have lost their lives due to the downpour.

Disaster management teams are assessing the damage in the area.

The Umgungundlovu district municipality's Mdu Nxumalo says teams are also assisting 11 families who've been affected by heavy rains in Impendle.

Nxumalo says two homes in the area were also struck by lightning last night.

"There were no injuries, no fatalities [in the lightning strike]," Nxumalo said. "There are teams on site doing a damage assessment."

- East Coast Radio News

Photos: Hail in Kwazulu Natal (11 February 2013)



David Greening - Mooi River to Giants Castle road.


Ziyaad Warasally - Hail in the Pieters Industrial area earlier yesterday afternoon

Freak storm wreaks havoc in the Eastern Cape (10 February 2012)


WHERE’S MY ROOF: Mlungisi Dama of Dowu village inside his spaza shop where a roof was also blown off by strong winds. STEPHANIE LLOYD

A SERIES of 20 storm cells merged to form five large storms which generated destructive gusts of wind and heavy rain on Sunday evening.

Residents throughout a large area of the Eastern Cape were shocked at the severity of the gust fronts and accompanying deluges.

This story of the storms, which smashed into an area taking in both metros, and reaching inland as far as Cradock and Butterworth, was told by two weather and two disaster management experts.

Eastern Cape SA Weather Service spokesman Garth Sampson said although these summer storms were “normal” and not part of climate change, they were characterised by destructive gust fronts.

He explained that parcels of air formed up in the very top of the thunderheads or anvils, and then “dived” from heights of 1.4km and burst out the front of the storm.
Gust front downdrafts have tossed two park homes into the air, and were responsible for most of the damage.

A gust front travelling at up to 180km/h will gouge the earth in a straight, narrow line between 100m to a kilometre wide, and move at ground level for a short distance, probably only lasting a minute.

Such fronts are capable of opening up a home “like a can of sardines,” said Sampson.
Kaysers Beach mom Margaret Green said their evening of DStv viewing turned to DVD watching as the power went out.

“Suddenly there was a huge crash,” she said, as two heavy asbestos roof sheets disappeared into the sky and rain sluiced through the 1.5m x 3m-hole, drenching carpets in three bedrooms and causing all the top floor ceiling boards to sag.


HOMELESS: Mzwandile Tywaleni of Dowu village in Chalumna showing Daily Dispatch reporters his house that was destroyed by the strong winds and rain on Sunday. Picture: STEPHANIE LLOYD

Sampson said February was perfect for storms like these, of which the metros received about three a month during a season stretching between September and March.
“You have the heat, you have the easterly flow [ of moist sea air] . You have energy and petrol. What more do you need?”

In the Buffalo City Metro, residents keyed up to watch the Afcon cup final on telly instead found themselves shunting furniture around, holding towels to the ceiling or soaking up water with mops.

Shortly before the kick-off, lightning crashed hitting trees and dropping branches, and a deluge of 34.2mm of rain caused gutters to collapse and sent water through roofs.

However, Buffalo City Metro disaster manager Owen Becker said the city’s services were able to cope with minor flooding, outages and other damage.
The Daily Dispatch learned from a local weather expert that the East London temperature plunged from 30 degrees to 19 degrees after the storm broke, while the humidity level went from 62.6% to 92%.


DESTROYED: Welekazi Makeleni seen outside her house in Sandile village after a roof was ripped off by strong winds on Sunday night Pictures: STEPHANIE LLOYD

The wind direction swung from a 35km northerly wind to a 55km south-westerly, with gusts of up to 200km observed near Greenfields.

Visibility for aircraft was reduced to a minimal 1110m as the cloud cover switched from a mid- level altocumulus to ground-level stratocumulus.

Eastern Cape disaster management spokesman John Fobian said both metros experienced flash flooding, and there were reports of power outages in Alice, settlements in the Great Fish river basin, Cradock and along the Sunshine Coast.

- Daily Dispatch


SAWDOS: Well done Garth Sampson and the Daily Dispatch!! A great analysis by Garth of the severe storms that struck the Eastern Cape this past weekend. Your years of experience is clearly noticeable. Thanks Daily Dispatch.  This is the type of educational information that the public wants to read and know. Keep up the good work!!

Swaar reën in die noorde van KwaZulu-Natal

OPVOLG: 12H00 - Ses mense is as vermis aangemeld en een is ernstig beseer nadat 'n swaar storm gisteraand huise en infrastruktuur in die uMzinyathi Munisipaliteit in die noorde van KwaZulu-Natal vernietig het. Paaie en brûe is van die infrastruktuur wat erg beskadig is. Die burgemeester van die Umzinyathi distrik, James Mthethwa sê vier huise het weggespoel. Hy het gevra vir bystand van die provinsiale regering.

09H00 - Swaar reën in die uMzinyathi Munisipaliteit in die noorde van KwaZulu-Natal het huise en infrastruktuur vernietig. Volgens berigte het 'n brug ook ineengestort. Die burgemeester van uMzinyathi, James Mthethwa sê hulle sal enige hulp van die provinsiale regering in geraakte gebiede soos Umsinga en Dundee, verwelkom. Daar is 'n aantal mense as vermis aangemeld.

- RSG Nuus

Sterkspruit hailstorm leaves 10 families homeless (3 February 2013)

A HAILSTORM left about 10 families homeless in Silindini village in Sterkspruit on Sunday, 3 February 2013.

Some villagers came back home from church to find the roofs of their homes ripped off by the strong winds. No injuries were reported.

Resident Madlamini Ndlengezwe said: “My furniture has also been damaged. I don’t know what to do. My bedroom suite is damaged and my house is destroyed. This is a black Sunday!”

The villagers said the hailstorm moved through the village fast. It hit at 2.30pm and in 20 minutes it had trail of destruction.

Christopher Zingithwa said he was lucky to have escaped unscathed after the roof of his two-room flat was blown away. He was in bed at the time and a brick fell onto it, missing him.

“I am unemployed and do not have money to fix it. I am left with a roofless left a house,” he said.

Senqu Municipality Ward 18 councillor Benjamin Ngongodo confirmed at least 10 homes were destroyed.

Mayor Nozibele Mtyhali said as soon as they received a full report on the matter they would forward it to the Joe Gqabi District Municipality for assistance.

- Daily Dispatch

180km/h wind with fierce rain torments Eastern Cape (10 February 2013)


COLLAPSED: Nomatshawe Ndleleni of Sandile Village in Chalumna standing in front of her uncle’s tavern yesterday. A strong wind accompanied by rain ripped through the house. Luckily no one was injured. Picture: STEPHANIE LLOYD

DRIVING winds and pouring rain caused widespread damage across parts of the Eastern Cape on Sunday night as a fierce storm lashed homes causing damage amounting to hundreds of thousands of rands.
Two areas that were hit badly included Chalumna and Christmas Rock, and some areas in Peddie recorded storm gusts of up to 180km/h.
Close to a hundred houses in the Chalumna area were badly damaged and one man was seriously injured after a park home collapsed on top of him as he was trying to escape.
The storm, which lasted less than an hour, left residents shocked. Patrons at a tavern belonging to businessman Phindile Ndleleni of Sandile village had a narrow escape when an almost 40m tall tree crashed down on it.

“This storm was fast and left damage that I estimate to be in region of R200000 in my place,” said Ndleleni.
Ndleleni’s niece, Nomatshawe Ndleleni, was inside at the time. She said she had heard a big bang before the ceiling collapsed on her.

“It was scary. I was in the storeroom and there were people drinking in the main hall. Luckily for us no one was injured. How we escaped I don’t know. The ceiling came crashing down.”
In New Rest village, an employee of the provincial department of public works was seriously injured and his friend, Loyiso Mahanjana had minor injuries when their park homes were blown away by the fierce winds.

Mahanjana was asleep. He said he saw his house “up in the air” before he lost consciousness.
“I was gone. After that I don’t know how the house landed on the ground. It was a freak storm,” he said.
Mahanjana and his friend were rescued by the owner of a security company and rushed to Frere Hospital. “If it was not for him, my friend would have died here,” he said.

Houses were damaged in Dowu, Zikhova and Ngqinisa villages.

At Christmas Rock, Roland Harris said this was the fiercest storm they’d had in the area.

- Daily Dispatch

Monday, 11 February 2013

Severe thunderstorm causes flash flooding and power outages in Port Elizabeth (10 February 2013)


A severe thunderstorm over Port Elizabeth caused damage and drama yesterday as heavy rainfall, accompanied by hail and lightning, led to flash flooding and power outages in parts of the city.

A stream of posts on social network site Facebook also reported roads, homes and gardens being flooded in mere minutes.

The PE Branch of the SA weather service reports that 25 millimetres of rain fell at the airport during yesterday's storm.

Third Avenue Dip in Newton Park measured 43 millimetres of rain.

It was closed to traffic earlier today but has since been reopened.

Coega measured 37 millimetres and Uitenhage 13.

In other parts of the Eastern Cape, Joubertina measured 28 millimetres, East London 34, Storms River 23, Barkley East 21 and Aliwal North 28.

- Herald/AlgoaFM

Photos: Severe Thunderstorm: Port Elizabeth (10 February 2013)




Jared Cassidy - @SAWDOS1 PE just before the storm hit.

Saturday, 9 February 2013

UPDATE: Upper air trough and cut-off low Western Cape: 9 -10 February 2013



We currently have a large cloud bank over parts of the Western and Northern Cape provinces this morning. As indicated before an upper air trough and cut-off is likely to develop further. The upper air trough might bring some thundershowers and cooler temperatures over parts of the Western Cape while the cut-off low (currently situated off shore) is likely to bring rain along the coastal belt while moving eastwards.

Rain and cooler conditions have been reported in Cape Town by Les Gutsche and Claire Horner. Mario Davy of Gansbaai report overcast conditions this morning, strong SE wind with thunder but no rain yet. The SAWS lighting chart shows widespread lighting strikes to the north and west of Cape Town.

General Overview: The SAWS issued severe thunderstorm warnings for the Western Cape, Northern Cape, Eastern Cape and Free State while extremely uncomfortable, hot and humid conditions are expected over northeastern part of Kwazulu Natal.

We all know that it is difficult to exactly predict where precipitation is expected as a result of the cut-off low. The SAWDOS would like to warn all communities to remain on full alert. SAWDOS will once again bring you the latest updates as the system progresses. It is difficult to say for certain if the system will result in severe weather, however at this stage the system should be observed full time and throughout the weekend. SAWDOS is currently monitoring this system very closely en encourage all it's weather observers to do the same.

All SAWDOS Weather Observers and even non SAWDOS weather observers are hereby requested to report heavy continues rain and other abnormal weather phenomena in their area of observation. Be alert and send observations to the SAWDOS as we will in turn publish the observations to the benefit of the general public.

Send information to:

SAWDOS Email: Click HERE

SMS Information to: 076 251 3482

Twitter Messages:  @SAWDOS1

Facebook: Click HERE.

Images: SAT24U.S. National Center for Environmental Prediction

Thursday, 31 January 2013

Storm beskadig talle huise in Kroonstad (30 Januarie 2013)


Een mens is beseer en verskeie huise beskadig in 'n storm wat Kroonstad in die noord-Vrystaat gisteraand getref het. Die persoon is beseer toe 'n H-O-P huis ineengestort het. Die volle omvang van die skade sal eers vandag bepaal kan word. Vroeër die middag het die verkeersowerheid in die Oos-Vrystaat motoriste gewaarsku om versigtig te bestuur, ná swaar reën in die Senekal-omgewing geval het. Verkeer op die N-5 was in 'n stadium deur die reën ontwrig. Verlede week het stortreën in Limpopo en Zimbabwe daartoe gelei dat die Limpoporivier sy oewers oorstroom het. In Mosambiek het die dodetal weens oorstromings in die suidelike deel van die land tot 38 gestyg. Sowat 150-duisend mense is haweloos gelaat weens die oorstromings.

- RSG Nuus