Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert WTXS21 Issued at 15/1730Z by JTWC and CIMSS - SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR

Images: JTWC (Click on images for larger view.

Image: CIMSS (Click on image for larger view.)

ALERT ATCF MIL 93X XXX 120115120000
2012011512
-27.6 39.2
-26.1 33.3
155
-27.5 38.6
151730
1201151721
1
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTXS21 PGTW 151730
RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 27.6S 39.2E TO 26.1S 33.3E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 23 TO 28 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 151130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 27.5S 38.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS.

2. REMARKS:
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 161730Z.
//
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- JTWC and CIMSS