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There is still no consensus amongst weather forecasters as to which path Giovanna will follow and whether it will bring torrential rain over parts of Mozambique and possible heavy rain in parts of South Africa.
The SA Weather Service warned in a press release that heavy rains, with strong winds, are expected in southern Mozambique on Friday, 17 February 2012. On Saturday and Sunday, the tropical depression is predicted to affect the southern parts of Mozambique, extending to Swaziland and the Mpumalanga lowveld. Communities in the northern KwaZulu-Natal are also likely to be affected to be affected on these days.
It is my humble opinion at this stage that Giovanna will be moving slowly south eastwards over the southern parts of Madagascar. This is if the current conditions prevail. However there is never a clear cut path when forecasting the route of any tropical storm. We still need to monitor Giovanna in real time observation mode as the storm might just decide to change direction at any time.
- SAWDOS
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